🧠 Valuation Insight: Hugs Aren’t Cash Flow

 🧸 Childcare centers often reflect strong demand—but valuations fall apart when: The owner is the lead teacher AND director Licensing doesn’t transfer or isn't disclosed Staff-to-child ratios don’t support enrollment numbers Goodwill is tied entirely to the owner’s personal brand 📌 If the kids stay for the teacher, not the business—it’s not enterprise value.

🎁 Resource Drop: Home Health Valuation Checklist

🧾 Now available: Our Home Health Care Services Valuation Checklist Covers:✅ Owner vs. staff production review✅ Labor compliance (W-2 vs. 1099)✅ Client relationship & goodwill transferability✅ Staff retention + capacity risk✅ SBA SOP alignment 📩 Click here to grab your copy.

⚠️ Red Flag Case Study: All Heart, No Infrastructure

A home care provider was priced at $950K based on $140K in cash flow. But: ❌ Owner was a full-time caregiver❌ No W-2 staff—just part-time 1099s❌ No formalized client contracts❌ High goodwill assigned to owner-driven reputation Adjusted free cash flow: ~$60KRevised value: ~$465K with seller support for transition 📌 Lender avoided over-financing.

🧠 Valuation Insight: Cash Flow ≠ Capacity

 🏥 Home health care companies often report strong margins—but do they have the staff to deliver that revenue? Top red flags in valuations and underwriting: Owner is a caregiver, scheduler, and marketer No long-term staff contracts or retention strategy Non-compliant labor practices (1099 caregivers vs. W-2) Goodwill assigned to client relationships tied only to owner … Continue reading 🧠 Valuation Insight: Cash Flow ≠ Capacity

🎁 Resource Drop: Auto Body Valuation Checklist

🧾 Just released: Our Auto Body & Collision Repair Valuation Checklist for SBA lenders Covers:✅ DRP & insurance contract concentration✅ Owner/tech comp normalization✅ CapEx for paint booths, lifts, frame machines✅ Labor + material margin breakdown✅ SBA tips for valuing repair shops 📩 Click here to grab your copy.

⚠️ Red Flag Case Study: Out of Alignment

A body shop claimed $265K in SDE and priced the business at $995K. But: ❌ 72% of work came from one DRP insurance contract❌ Frame machine and paint booth overdue for replacement❌ Owner + brother = unpaid labor❌ Payroll was 60% of norm for revenue level Adjusted FCF: ~$115KRevised value: ~$675K 📌 Lender and appraiser … Continue reading ⚠️ Red Flag Case Study: Out of Alignment

🧠 Valuation Insight: Insurance Pays the Bill, But Not the Value

 🚘 Auto body shops can generate steady work, but valuations often get dented by: Insurance DRP dependency (and no contract backups) Equipment wear-and-tear with no CapEx normalization Low margins misrepresented as cash flow Owner or family techs not replaced at market wages 📌 Volume doesn’t equal value—especially if it’s underpaid or unsustainable.

🎁 Resource Drop: C-Store Valuation Checklist

🧾 New resource: Our Convenience Store Valuation Checklist for SBA lenders Covers:✅ Owner and family labor normalization✅ Inventory vs. goodwill logic✅ Gross margin sanity checks✅ Lottery, tobacco, ATM, and vendor program treatment✅ SBA underwriting considerations 📩 Click here to grab your copy.

⚠️ Red Flag Case Study: A Price Too Convenient

This store claimed $190K in cash flow and priced the business at $925K. But: ❌ Gross margins were shown at 20%—industry average is ~12-14%❌ No adjustment for family labor on night/weekend shifts Adjusted cash flow: ~$105KTrue value: ~$560K 📌 Lender avoided an over-leveraged deal—and a costly default.

🧠 Valuation Insight: Convenience Comes with a Cost

 🏪 C-stores generate steady revenue—but valuations can unravel fast when: Margins are inflated beyond industry norms Owner or family labor isn’t normalized Lottery, tobacco, or ATM income is treated inconsistently 📌 “Simple business” doesn’t mean simple valuation.