The Myth:Pre-COVID numbers are the true benchmark for valuation. The Reality:Markets have shifted permanently post-2020. Buyers, lenders, and valuators prioritize current, sustainable performance over historical pre-pandemic results. Why It Matters:Using outdated financials risks overvaluing businesses that havenât recovered or adapted. Practical Tip:Focus your valuation on proven recovery trends â not just historical highs.
SBA loan valuation
đ§ Even a 100% Owner Canât Sell Overnight
Discount for Lack of Marketability (DLOM) isnât just for minority interests. Even if you own the whole business, you canât cash out tomorrow. That illiquidity mattersâand itâs why DLOMs are justified even for controlling stakes. Takeaway for SBA lenders: The DLOM reflects real economic friction. Itâs not about controlâitâs about marketability. Check out our article … Continue reading đ§ Even a 100% Owner Canât Sell Overnight
đ© Red Flag Story: Equipment Obsolescence
đ A manufacturer had solid cash flowâbut we discovered most equipment was outdated, barely functioning, and not included in CapEx forecasts. Without reinvestment, operations would stall. With proper CapEx? Cash flow dropped by $110K/year. The fix:â Calculated Maintenance CapEx and Normalized Free Cash Flowâ Lender adjusted loan terms Always ask: Will this business stay functional … Continue reading đ© Red Flag Story: Equipment Obsolescence
đ Valuation Myth: CapEx Doesnât Matter in Valuation
The Myth:Maintenance capital expenditures donât affect value. The Reality:Ignoring CapEx inflates free cash flow and overstates value. Every business has recurring investment needs â whether it's equipment, vehicles, or tech infrastructure. Why It Matters:Failing to account for CapEx misleads buyers and lenders about long-term sustainability. Practical Tip:Always subtract normalized CapEx from cash flow.
đ Low Risk? Low Return. High Risk? Better Be Worth It.
Every valuation is a risk-adjusted exercise. The greater the risk, the higher the return an investor will requireâand the lower the value today. This principle is baked into every SBA 7(a) valuation through the discount or cap rate. Takeaway: Risk is the price of opportunity. It should never be ignored or âsmoothed outâ in small … Continue reading đ Low Risk? Low Return. High Risk? Better Be Worth It.
đ§ FMV â 10x EBITDA
đą Just because a company sold for 10x EBITDA doesnât mean your deal should be valued that way. Market comps are helpfulâbut only when adjusted for: Size Industry Risk Terms Liquidity SBA lenders need fair market valueânot headline multiples.
đ Valuation Myth: Book Value Sets a Minimum Value
The Myth:A business is always worth at least its book value. The Reality:If the business isnât profitable, or if its assets are illiquid or obsolete, the true value may fall below book. Buyers pay for income potential â not just recorded assets. Why It Matters:Using book value as a floor can lead to overvaluation â … Continue reading đ Valuation Myth: Book Value Sets a Minimum Value
SBA 7(a) Business Valuation Multiples Cheat Sheet
This cheat sheet provides estimated price-to-revenue (P/Revenue) and price-to-EBITDA (P/EBITDA) multiples for small businesses across various industries, based on heuristic and empirical data from transactional and valuation analyses and cross-referenced with market research. These ranges are tailored for SBA 7(a) loan valuations, focusing on businesses with revenues typically under $5M. This cheat sheet is designed … Continue reading SBA 7(a) Business Valuation Multiples Cheat Sheet
đŠ Why Global Cash Flow Canât Justify a Higher Valuation
Global cash flow is great for underwritingâbut it doesnât belong in a valuation model. Valuation relies on free cash flow from the subject businessânot combined with personal income, spouse wages, or real estate. Why? Because buyers only buy the business, not the ownerâs other income sources. Takeaway for lenders: If you use global cash flow … Continue reading đŠ Why Global Cash Flow Canât Justify a Higher Valuation
đ© Red Flag Story: Broker-Driven Valuation
đ A deal came in at a $3.5M price tag based on a broker "valuation." Their logic? âBecause similar businesses sell for 5x.â But: No normalized cash flow No working capital terms No review of recurring CapEx We valued it at $2.1M. The lender restructured the deal. Buyer still closedâsafely. Brokers sell optimism. Lenders need … Continue reading đ© Red Flag Story: Broker-Driven Valuation
