πŸ“Š Case Study: Startup-Level Projections in a Mature Business

πŸ’Ό We reviewed a valuation where the buyer projected 30% growth and a 2x revenue jump post-acquisition.

The valuation? Based on unsupported projections as if the company were a startup.

But:

  • Mature business in a mature industry
  • Historic growth = 2–3%
  • No new contracts
  • No capital investment

We valued the business based on historic free cash flowβ€”and saved the lender from financing a fantasy.